Stock Thermometer

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Stock analytics

AI-driven stock analysis that shows when stocks look buyable, neutral or extended.

Green zone0
Neutral0
Extended0

Objective score

Fully automated score based on technical setup, momentum, valuation and earnings risk.

For informational and educational purposes only. This is not investment advice, not a personal recommendation, not a price target and not a buy or sell order.

The score is a watchlist filter based on public market data and model assumptions. Scores may be wrong, delayed or incomplete.

Score guide

Green means technically interesting or fundamentally healthy. Orange means wait for confirmation. Red usually means extended, weak trend, overbought or deteriorating fundamentals.

Green: near or below a key average Orange: neutral Red: strongly extended
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Fundamentals - earnings & valuation (monthly)

Technical condition shows how stretched the move is; fundamentals show whether earnings growth still supports the valuation. A strong trend becomes fragile when expectations start to fall.

Forward earnings momentum

Not today’s earnings, but the direction of expectations.

  • Green: analysts are raising earnings estimates.
  • Orange: expectations are stabilizing.
  • Red: three months of downward revisions.

Trigger: forward earnings rolling over is a catalyst, not a condition.

PEG-thermometer

Forward P/E divided by expected three-year earnings growth.

  • < 1.5: healthy.
  • 1,5-2,5: warm.
  • > 2.5: euphoric.

Interpretation: high multiples are acceptable as long as earnings growth keeps up.

Fundamentals keep narratives honest. Big bubbles rarely break only because valuations are high; they break when the market realizes expected earnings growth is no longer achievable. Technicals confirm, macro accelerates, but earnings ultimately decide whether the trend is durable.

Theory

  • RSI below 30: often oversold. It can be interesting, but only if the company remains fundamentally sound. Sometimes it is oversold because something is genuinely wrong.
  • RSI 30-40: often a better buy zone for quality companies. Weak enough for a retest, but not necessarily panic.
  • RSI 40-55: neutral. Suitable for phased buying when price is also near the 50-day or 200-day average.
  • RSI 60-70: strong momentum. Fine if already owned, less ideal for a new entry.
  • RSI above 70: overbought. Usually better to wait for cooling.
  • Price above the 50-day and 200-day averages: the stock is technically in an uptrend.
  • Price pulls back to the 50-day average: often a normal retest. This can be an initial entry zone for quality companies.
  • Price pulls back to the 200-day average: deeper correction. It can be attractive, but requires more caution.
  • Price far above the 50-day and 200-day averages: the stock is extended. Not necessarily bad, but less attractive for a full new entry.
  • Price below the 200-day average: the long trend is weaker. Prefer waiting for recovery or buying only very gradually.

Entry moments: the setup is strongest when several layers are green or favorably neutral at the same time: price near the 50d or 200d, RSI around 35-55, green setup score, no immediate earnings risk, and healthy or improving fundamentals. For quality companies, a retest of the 50d is often a first entry; a move toward the 200d is more interesting but needs more fundamental checks.

Accumulation: accumulating means building gradually, not buying a full position at once. It fits a stock you want to own or already own when signals are still mixed: orange setup score, neutral RSI, price between the 50d and 200d, or strong fundamentals without full technical confirmation. Practically: small tranche now, another on a retest, and only size up after confirmation above the 200d or a clear golden cross.

Exit moments: selling usually means trimming or taking profit, not automatically selling everything. A stronger exit signal appears when RSI above 70 combines with price near the 3m high, weak volume after a rise, 50d below 200d, or deteriorating earnings/PEG. A clear risk rule: price below 200d and red fundamentals means do not add; reassess the position.

Setup score: the score runs from 0 to 100 and combines timing and quality signals: distance to the 50d and 200d averages, RSI, trend/cross, volume, distance from recent highs, earnings risk, earnings momentum and PEG. Green is usually 70+, orange is neutral, and red is usually 40 or lower. A high score does not mean “buy now”; it means more model signals line up. The zone still matters: a strong stock can have a weaker entry moment when it is already extended.

Stock ticker: zone × setup. The moving ticker is a fast filter, not a standalone buy or sell signal. The color shows the current zone: green means near or below a relevant technical zone, orange means mixed or still awaiting confirmation, red means extended or technically vulnerable. The number on the right is the setup score: the higher the score, the better price, RSI, trend, volume, earnings and PEG line up. The strongest candidates are usually green or orange zones with a high setup score; red with a high score can mean the company is strong, but the entry moment is less attractive. In short: zone defines timing, setup score defines the quality of the moment.

Disclaimer: for informational and educational purposes only. This is not investment advice, not a personal recommendation, not a price target and not a buy or sell order. The score is a watchlist filter based on public market data and model assumptions. Stock Thermometer does not know your financial situation, objectives, risk tolerance or investment horizon. Scores may be incorrect, delayed or incomplete.